Tyler Cowen blogs about the market's inflation expectations as reflected in the spread between Treasuries and TIPS.
I'd be more likely to take the other side of that trade: go long TIPS and short Treasuries, maybe on the 10-year (see the comment from "fusion"). Down the road--whenever that is--I fear inflation could be the cost of the many government bailouts, maybe very bad inflation. If you can finance it properly, it looks like a cheap hedge.
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Many people who invest in gold understand that its primary function, even more so than inflation hedging, is crisis hedging. What happens when the bottom falls out of the US economy? Business struggle, people are laid off, and stock shares mostly decline. Gold, on the other hand, sees a rise in value typically.
But also inflation was slow and steady but not enough to cause fear. So Gold was not a very good inflation hedge! So why is Gold rising now? Partially because it is a commodity like all other commodities and demand has picked up from China (perhaps they got tired of the gold manipulation game).
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